Tucson Home Prices Fall 20 percent

calendar May 12, 2009

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“The National Association of Realtors said Tuesday the median sales price of an existing home in Tucson was $176,000, down from $221,000 in 2008.”

Prices Fell By How Much?

Prices Fell By How Much?

This was the headline for an article in the Tucson Citizen this morning. The report shows it is picked up from The Associated Press.

It is a very GOOD example of POOR journalism. Headline Sensational: YES. But what about the context. For example how is this for a sensational headline “World War Breaks Out” Yep, sensational. Did World War break out? Yes a couple of times. Lately? Why do I use this as an example?

Read the article and tell me when the median sale price dropped 20 percent. It says it was down from $221,000 in 2008, but when in 2009 was it $176,000? A quick look at Tucson MLS statistics show median sale prices for each month since January as follows:

  • Jan. $163.250
  • Feb. $178,000
  • Mar. $165,0o0
  • Apr. $164,000

To date in May it is $160,000  Average them all together do you get $176,000?

It looks like $176,000 is high and the percentage of drop in median sale price is more than 20 percent.

But Wait There is More

How about the $221,000 median sale price for 2008?

  • Jan. $203,000
  • Feb. $199,000
  • Mar. $200,000
  • Apr. $195,000
  • May $201,000
  • June $200,000
  • July $199,900
  • Aug. $185,000
  • Sept. $180,500
  • Oct. $180,000
  • Nov. $178,000
  • Dec. $167,900

Do you see that adding up to $221,000 for a Median Sale Price in Tucson?

But Wait There is Even More

Yes, there is more, because we discussed this the other day in Tucson Average and Median Sale Price.  If you break out property by Type and Location all those numbers change once again.

The Point of All This

Newspapers are still in the business of selling Newspapers (for awhile yet anyway)  And headlines sell papers.  Sensational headlines sell even more papers.  Who needs the Who, What, When, Where, Why in modern journalism.  Don’t let the facts confuse the issue.

Time again for a phrase that came into existence because of the reality on which it was based “Don’t Believe Everything You Read In The Papers”

By Dave Smith in Tucson Real Estate Market

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