Tucson Real Estate Absorption Rates October 2008

calendar November 15, 2008

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October took a step back from September. There was a shift overall in the areas where sales were the strongest for the month. The West saw a good pickup in activity while the East, Southeast and Central saw a slowing in sales. The overall rate increased by over a month but the XSW area at 27.33 months of inventory skews the overall absorption rate considerably.

Area

Oct Listed

Oct
Sold
Sept
AR

Sept Listed

Sept
Sold
Sept
AR
Sold YTD
N 764 48 15.91 740 63 11.74 741
NE 456 37 12.32 450 31 14.51 398
NW 1966 214 9.18 1949 237 8.22 2366
XNW 140 12 17.00 139 12 11.58 88
C 1027 94 10.92 1017 124 8.20 1281
E 453 52 8.71 461 81 5.69 664
S 527 67 7.86 480 76 6.31 621
SE 618 68 9.08 605 103 5.87 886
SW 604 77 7.84 604 87 6.94 695
XSW 310 30 10.33 297 16 18.56 249
XS 564 71 7.94 544 62 8.77 627
W 460 50 9.20 476 35 13.60 460
XW 82 3 27.30 80 5 16.00 52
7,988 823 9.70 7,857 934 8.41

We are winding down 2008 with the second home market season upon us. The delay in the snowbird arrival due to the presidential election has delayed some purchases. Oh and the economic uncertainty might have something to do with it as well. Please, don’t think I’m making light of the current economy. It is a crisis of confidence. The actual numbers have changed little since last year. The correction and cleaning of the financial markets was a necessary part of making our economy healthy, something it hasn’t been for some time. Even though there was a giant party going on in economic circles it was based on a cancer within. A party based on cancer is never healthy.

Surgery was/is necessary and while we are healing as a nation and learning once again to live within our means and income we need laughter. Doctors have long since learned that patience recover faster when surrounded with laughter. Now is that for a prescription for the future. We can laugh our way out of recession.

By Dave Smith in Tucson Real Estate Market

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